در این مقاله، مدل مدیریت زنجیرة تأمین چندسطحی و چندمحصولی با استفاده از کنترل پیش‌گویانة مدل مبتنی‌بر سناریو (SCMPC) ارائه می‌شود که می‌تواند زنجیرة تأمین را با برنامه‌ریزی عدم قطعیت که از تقاضا و مدت‌زمان انتظار تصادفی ناشی می‌شود، اداره کند. علاوه‌‌براین، با احتمال 95 درصد سطح خاصی از خدمات را در قالب افق زمانی به مشتری تضمین می‌کند. احتمالی‌بودن مدت‌زمان انتظار ممکن است اثر شلاقی را در طول کل زنجیره و کمبودهایی را در سطوح مختلف ایجاد کند. بدین‌منظور، هزینة مواجهه با کمبود در مدل درنظر گرفته شده است. پس از مدل‌سازی، مسئله در حالت احتمالی حل شده، و برای حل مسائل بزرگ‌تر الگوریتم رقابت استعماری به‌کار رفته است. براساس نتایج، SCMPC از نظر محاسباتی بسیار کارآمد است و مزیت آن از بهینه‌سازی استوار و تصادفی بیشتر است.
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